Coronavirus UK: Rapid test trials miss over 50% of positive cases 

Liverpool’s mass-testing scheme is branded a ‘shambles’ as Covid-stricken patients are allowed to mix with the uninfected in hour-long queues: Top scientists warn ambitious project could be a costly failure

  • Liverpool’s 500,000 residents are first in England to be allowed tests even if they don’t have symptoms
  • But residents complained to MailOnline asymptomatic and symptomatic people not segregated in queues
  • Photographer David Colbran, 51, said: ‘It’s a shambles, half the people here queuing up have symptoms’

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WHAT IS OPERATION MOONSHOT AND WHAT IS GOING ON IN LIVERPOOL? 

Operation Moonshot is the Government’s plan to get millions of people tested and given a result on the same day.

Tests would be routinely given to hospital staff, carers and swathes of the workforce to try and jump-start the economy. 

But there have been serious doubts about whether Number 10 is capable of pulling it off. 

Currently the Department of Health has a testing capacity of around 500,000.

And just 15 per cent of people who have an in-person test currently get a result within 24 hours.

Moonshot is seen as the only way out of the perpetual loosening and tightening of lockdown curbs without a viable vaccine.

LIVERPOOL

The city of 500,000 is being used by officials as a pilot to see if it can pull off rapid testing on a mass scale.

Tests which give results in about an hour will be used in the trial, as well as the normal PCR swab tests that are already used in centres across the country.

Hospitals in the city were originally supposed to have a 20-minute test at their disposal – to be used to routinely test all of their staff – but it emerged today the machines are less than 50 per cent accurate.

The tests will still be used in small a scheme on hospital staff in Liverpool but there are now worries that they aren’t good enough. 

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England’s first city-wide mass-swabbing scheme was branded a ‘shambles’ by the people of Liverpool today who claimed they were forced to mingle in hour-long queues with potentially infected Covid-19 patients.

The Merseyside city – once the nation’s coronavirus hotspot – today began offering rapid Covid-19 tests to all 500,000 of its residents in the first major step forward for No10’s ambitious ‘Operation Moonshot’. Everyone is being encouraged to get tested, regardless of whether they have symptoms or not. 

But residents have today complained to MailOnline that asymptomatic and symptomatic people were not segregated as they queued at testing centres for their swab, potentially opening the door for the coronavirus to spread more easily. 

Photographer David Colbran, 51, said: ‘It’s a shambles, we booked an appointment to have a test for people with no symptoms but half the people here queuing up have symptoms and it’s not until you get to the first person in hi-vis that they ask you if you have symptoms and you realise you have been stood with people who have symptoms for over an hour. Some people have just turned up without an appointment and others have booked so it seems you can do both.

Joanne Topping, 59, a retired consultant, said: ‘The staff don’t seem to know what is going on. Obviously you have to understand that there will be teething problems but there’s no fluidity or organisation based on whether you’re here for the Operation Moonshot testing or the regular testing because you have symptoms.

‘It seems you can both book a test and just walk up to get one as part of the mass testing that the army are doing, but those that have booked a test are being processed quicker. People don’t mind waiting too much but we have already been here for an hour and haven’t moved.

Matt Exley, 32, museum worker said: ‘I have come out of my safe house, I had no symptoms and I’ve been mixing with people who are infected without even knowing. It’s not until you reach the entrance of the car park that you are triaged into two queues based on whether you have symptoms or not. It’s ridiculous.’   

Hundreds of soldiers were drafted in to support the ambitious effort, administering tests and helping local officials cope with the huge effort. Bosses hope it will save lives, ease pressure on hospitals and allow life to revert to some form of normality before Christmas.  

Rapid tests that give results in less than an hour are being used in the pilot, alongside the normal PCR swab tests that are already used in centres across the country for people with tell-tale symptoms of the illness.

Hospitals in the city were originally supposed to have a 20-minute test at their disposal – to be used to routinely test all of their staff in a separate trial – but it emerged today the machines are less than 50 per cent accurate. Despite worries they are not good enough, officials will still use the kits on NHS workers.

In a blow to Boris Johnson’s ambition of carrying out 10million tests a day by 2021, researchers found the Optigene Direct RT-Lamp tests missed more than half of positive cases in a trial in Manchester, meaning they risk dangerously underestimating the number of people who are actually infected.  

The device had the potential to significantly expand Britain’s testing capacity – seen as one of the only ways out of the crisis without a viable vaccine – because it can turn around three times as many results in the same time as the Government’s current fastest machines.

It means the programme, rumoured to have cost No10 around £100billion, will likely end up being a watered down version of the one promised by the Prime Minister in the summer, unless they find another device with a similar turnaround time that is more accurate. 

It comes as top experts said plans to screen the population of Liverpool for coronavirus were not fit for purpose and warned the programme could end up being a costly failure.

The group of academics, including Professor Allyson Pollock, a public health expert at Newcastle University, said plans to test asymptomatic people in Liverpool went against SAGE advice to prioritise testing for those who were displaying symptoms.

A woman takes a throat sample at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning as the city became the first in Britain to roll out a mass-swabbing scheme

A woman takes a throat sample at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning as the city became the first in Britain to roll out a mass-swabbing scheme

A woman takes a throat sample at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning as the city became the first in Britain to roll out a mass-swabbing scheme

A woman winces as she does her own nasal swab at the NHS Test and Trace facility at Wavertree Sports Park on the first day of the swabbing pilot

A woman winces as she does her own nasal swab at the NHS Test and Trace facility at Wavertree Sports Park on the first day of the swabbing pilot

A woman winces as she does her own nasal swab at the NHS Test and Trace facility at Wavertree Sports Park on the first day of the swabbing pilot

An NHS staff member uses a litter picker to give people their DIY coronavirus tests through their car window

An NHS staff member uses a litter picker to give people their DIY coronavirus tests through their car window

An NHS staff member uses a litter picker to give people their DIY coronavirus tests through their car window

Soldiers practiced on themselves at the Liverpool Tennis Centre in Wavertree, before the start of the mass Covid-19 testing in Liverpool

Soldiers practiced on themselves at the Liverpool Tennis Centre in Wavertree, before the start of the mass Covid-19 testing in Liverpool

Soldiers practiced on themselves at the Liverpool Tennis Centre in Wavertree, before the start of the mass Covid-19 testing in Liverpool

Cars queue outside a coronavirus testing centre at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning

Cars queue outside a coronavirus testing centre at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning

Cars queue outside a coronavirus testing centre at Wavertree Sports Park in Liverpool this morning

Liverpool today becomes the first city in England to open up coronavirus testing to all of its residents, regardless of whether they have symptoms or not

Liverpool today becomes the first city in England to open up coronavirus testing to all of its residents, regardless of whether they have symptoms or not

Liverpool today becomes the first city in England to open up coronavirus testing to all of its residents, regardless of whether they have symptoms or not

The number of people testing positive for coronavirus in Liverpool has plummeted in recent weeks, from a peak of almost 3,500 per day in early October. The city remains one of the worst-hit parts of England

The number of people testing positive for coronavirus in Liverpool has plummeted in recent weeks, from a peak of almost 3,500 per day in early October. The city remains one of the worst-hit parts of England

The number of people testing positive for coronavirus in Liverpool has plummeted in recent weeks, from a peak of almost 3,500 per day in early October. The city remains one of the worst-hit parts of England

HOW MANY SOLDIERS COULD BE NEEDED FOR BORIS’ MOONSHOT TO WORK UK-WIDE? 

Two thousand soldiers were drafted in to assist with the pilot testing scheme of around 500,000 residents in Liverpool.

Boris Johnson’s plan is to eventually roll out the mass-swabbing programme for more cities and towns across the UK, which has a population of 65million.

Using Liverpool as a reference – with 2,000 soldiers deployed per half a million residents – it would mean the UK would need to use 260,000 servicemen and women.

That’s more than three times the number of troops currently serving in the British Army (79,300), according to Statista.

On the other hand, the British Armed Forces, as a whole, have a strength of 193,460 service personnel.

It still raises serious doubts about whether the project could work on a national scale.

Transporting millions of tests around the country every day is a logistical nightmare and, with the country already short of nurses and trained healthcare workers, the army are seen as crucial to delivering Moonshot.

But lab workers, volunteers and NHS Test and Trace employees are also helping Number 10 roll out its scheme in Liverpool and would be critical in any national version of the programme.

It is also possible that Moonshot could be carried out  using postal tests, which would remove the need for as many boots-on-the-ground personnel.

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Liverpool city officials say the Direct RT-Lamp tests tests were never intended to be used on members of the public and that the mass testing scheme is still going ahead as normal.

While the Department of Health accepted the Manchester study’s findings, it claimed other trials of the Lamp test had shown it to be between 80 and 96 per cent accurate. The Government department said the machine shouldn’t be written off yet.

Liverpool has faced some of the worst effects of England’s second wave of coronavirus and hospitals there have seen patient numbers surge in recent weeks. The infection rate in the city has fallen by more than half in the last month, however. 

Mayor of the city, Joe Anderson, said: ‘This is an incredible opportunity to turbocharge our efforts to reduce coronavirus in the city.’    

The Liverpool pilot is the first step towards successful mass testing, with sites being set up around the city and all of its residents encouraged to get tested in the coming days and weeks.

Hundreds of soldiers were this week deployed to the Pontins holiday park in nearby Southport in preparation for the scheme and six new test centres, set up in council-run fitness centres across the city, opened their doors at 9am today. 

Military and police vehicles were seen entering the park, usually a holiday destination for families visiting the seaside resort, through an entrance manned by Army personnel.

The Mayor of Liverpool, Joe Anderson said: ‘This is an incredible opportunity to turbocharge our efforts to reduce coronavirus in the city.

‘We are excited to be leading on this project, supported by the Department of Health and Social Care.

‘Let’s all get tested, for our families, our mates, our Liverpool and set an example to the country and the world.’

Everyone in the city is being asked to get tested, but particularly health and care workers, other emergency services and key workers and school or university staff and students.

Lateral flow tests, which work like pregnancy tests and give results in under an hour, will be used along with existing PCR swab tests. Both work in ultimately the same way, amplifying genetic material then looking for signs of the virus.

Lateral flow uses a different type of enzyme which allows the test to be done at one temperature, which makes it faster but less accurate.

PCR uses another type of enzyme and the process has to be repeated at different temperatures, which means it takes longer but is more accurate. 

A Liverpool Council spokeswoman said more test centres will open in the coming days and that the pilot is expected to last for an initial 10 days, with a view to it being extended. 

Tests can be booked online or on the NHS app and centres will accommodate walk-ins on the first day of the scheme, the spokeswoman said. 

Soldiers have been drafted in to support the ambitious effort and were yesterday seen setting up base at the Pontins holiday park in Southport (one gives a nasal sample)

Soldiers have been drafted in to support the ambitious effort and were yesterday seen setting up base at the Pontins holiday park in Southport (one gives a nasal sample)

Soldiers have been drafted in to support the ambitious effort and were yesterday seen setting up base at the Pontins holiday park in Southport (one gives a nasal sample)

NHS Test and Trace workers wait for the first people to come through the Wavertree testing centre

NHS Test and Trace workers wait for the first people to come through the Wavertree testing centre

NHS Test and Trace workers wait for the first people to come through the Wavertree testing centre

Soldiers setting up earlier this morning before the facility at Wavertree opened its doors

Soldiers setting up earlier this morning before the facility at Wavertree opened its doors

Soldiers setting up earlier this morning before the facility at Wavertree opened its doors

WHAT IS THE OPTIGENE RT-LAMP TEST?

  • Sample type: Nasal & throat swab, or saliva
  • Turnaround time: 20 minutes
  • Tests per day: 300 per hour
  • Accuracy: Claimed 97% 
  • Price: Unknown

The OptiGene Direct RT-Lamp tests are nasal and throat swabs which can be processed using a portable machine that produces results within 20 minutes. 

Once swabs have been collected from patients, the samples are loaded into the devices, known as the Genie HT, which look for tiny traces of the virus in their DNA.  

The machines amplify the DNA billions of times chemically so they can detect the virus with extreme sensitivity. They can also be used with saliva samples.  

The test has been trialled by the Government on thousands of people in A&E departments, GP coronavirus testing hubs and care homes across Hampshire, Salford and Southampton. 

A trial of the tests at an NHS trust in Hampshire found the tests to be up to 97 per cent sensitive, meaning they should only miss three out of every 100 true positive cases, and 99 per cent specific, meaning only one in 100 people would get a false positive result. 

Department of Health officials said real-world trials estimate the sensitivity to be 97.32 per cent for swab tests and 82 per cent when used with saliva when used on people with symptoms. They said the accuracy is ‘comparable’ to the standard swab tests used by the Government.  

When used on random groups of people, whether they have symptoms or not, the overall sensitivity, the Department of Health said, was 79.74 per cent and up to 96.61 per cent in people with a large amount of the virus in their body.

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Testing will also take place using home kits and in hospitals, care homes, schools, universities and workplaces.

Director of Public Health for Liverpool Matt Ashton said: ‘The aim of this project is to quickly identify people who have the virus and reduce transmission substantially.

‘This exciting mass testing programme simply means asking everyone to volunteer to be tested, and for those who test positive to self-isolate straight away and prevent others from getting it.

‘This is a pilot scheme and we won’t get everything right, but it is a huge chance to drive down transmission rates and get life back to normal more quickly.’ 

It comes as independent experts said plans to screen the population of Liverpool for coronavirus were not fit for purpose.

A group of academics, including Allyson Pollock, Professor of Public Health at Newcastle University, said plans to test asymptomatic people in Liverpool went against SAGE advice to prioritise testing for those who were displaying symptoms.

In a letter sent to the city’s MPs on Thursday evening, they said ‘Searching for symptomless yet infectious people is like searching for needles that appear transiently in haystacks.

‘The potential for harmful diversion of resources and public money is vast.

‘Also of concern are the potential vested interests of commercial companies supplying new and as yet inadequately evaluated tests.’

And Angela Raffle, a consultant in Public Health based in Bristol, warned the half a billion pound project could be a costly failure.

She said: ‘Experience with screening tells us that if you embark on a screening programme without having carefully evaluated it first, without a proper quality assured pathway, without certainty of test performance in field settings, without full information for participants, and without the means to ensure that the intervention needed for those with positive results does indeed take place, the result is an expensive mess that does more harm than good.

‘Having looked carefully into what is being proposed, my assessment is that the current proposals for screening the City of Liverpool using SARS-CoV-2 rapid tests are not fit for purpose.’

The academics were also concerned about the tests offering false negatives and false positives.

Professor Pollock told the PA news agency: ‘The test is not a measure of infection or infectiousness, it simply tells you if there is viral RNA present.

‘It gives a binary yes or no result, but the reality is much more complex than that. It tests for viral fragments, these could be left-over debris from a previous infection or live virus. Even then, it doesn’t tell you if you are infectious.’

She added: ‘My concerns are that the current proposals for city-wide screening will fail to realise any worthwhile benefit, and will cause substantial harm through diversion of resources. They will also distract from solving the widely reported problems with the test and trace programme.

‘It is my view that the National Screening Committee should be asked to rapidly review the proposals as a matter of urgency, in order that the plans can be subject to scrutiny by people with appropriate knowledge and experience.’

The letter to the MPs was signed by Prof Pollock and Dr Raffle as well as Anthony Brooks, Professor of Genomics and Bioinformatics at Leicester University; Louisa Harding-Edgar, GP and Academic Fellow in General Practice at Glasgow University and Stuart Hogarth, sociology lecturer at Cambridge University.

On Thursday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that technical advances in testing, including a different type of rapid testing being piloted in Liverpool, could be a ‘real way forward through the crisis’. 

Mr Johnson told a Downing Street press conference: ‘These really are full of promise, I do think that testing does offer a real way forward for this country.’

He said mass rapid testing would allow a return towards normal life.

‘The advantage of this approach is that you can tell whether people are infectious or not immediately, within 10 to 15 minutes,’ he said.

‘Without having to worry about the time taken to get the answer from the current testing system, you can help those people to self-isolate if they test positive, and if they test negative, then of course, they’re free to do things with other people who test negative in something close to a normal way.’

However, some experts have urged caution, saying rapid tests are not as accurate as standard PCR swab tests processed in the lab and could result in people who are infectious being told they are not.  

The findings of the Manchester trial raise major questions about one of the big-name tests in the Government’s mass-screening strategy, which Boris Johnson this week heralded as the UK’s main route back to normality.

The Department of Health has disputed the results, calling them ‘incorrect’ and maintaining that the test is good. 

But in a letter seen by the Guardian, scientists from the Manchester group (MTEG) said: ‘The current available data from the Manchester pilot shows low sensitivity (46.7 per cent) of the Direct RT-Lamp platform.’

According to the newspaper, the scientists said they had ‘significant concerns’ and felt the data did not support a large scale roll-out of the tests to staff in clinical settings, such as hospitals and care homes.

Missing positive test results because of inaccurate equipment could lead to disaster in places with highly vulnerable patients and residents.

People who get false negatives – meaning they’re told they don’t have the virus when they actually do – may continue to live their lives as normal and spread the disease without knowing if they don’t get any symptoms.

A lack of symptoms, which is thought to occur more often than actually feeling ill with Covid-19, is the reason the Government wants to bring in mass testing.

OptiGene Direct RT-Lamp test mixture

OptiGene Direct RT-Lamp test mixture

The Optigene Genie HT, which processes swab tests and can return results in 20 minutess

The Optigene Genie HT, which processes swab tests and can return results in 20 minutess

The OptiGene Direct RT-Lamp test (pictured left, the test mixture and right, the Genie HT machine that processes the tests) has been found by a study in Manchester found it was less than 50 per cent accurate

Only by testing everyone, regardless of whether they’re ill or not, will officials ever understand the true size of Britain’s outbreak and get control of the virus.

The Department of Health has refuted claims that the test is inaccurate and said the trial in Manchester was one of five that have been done in separate laboratories, with the other three all backing up previous results suggesting a high level of sensitivity.

Professor Mark Wilcox, co-chair of the Department’s technical validation group, said: ‘The direct LAMP tests used in Manchester have been validated in other laboratories and in real-world testing for use in different settings.

‘It is incorrect to claim the tests have a low sensitivity, with a recent pilot showing overall technical sensitivity of nearly 80 per cent rising to over 96 per cent in individuals with a higher viral load, making it important for detecting individuals in the infectious stage. 

‘The challenge now is to understand the reasons for the difference in claimed sensitivity in one evaluation versus those in multiple others.’ 

MailOnline has approached OptiGene for comment.

Testing times in Liverpool – why Merseyside trial might be key to lockdown exit

England’s second national lockdown may only be two days old but politicians already have an eye on the exit. Here are some of the key questions on why testing will be crucial to the country emerging from restrictions in time for Christmas:

Will the lockdown in England end on December 2?

Yes – that is the message from Downing Street. Prime Minister Boris Johnson told Thursday’s news conference that the advice he received from scientists was that the four-week lockdown period ‘is enough for these measures to make a real impact’.

The country will then be expected to return to the tier system, although what restrictions will remain in place over the Christmas period will be decided nearer the time.

‘There is light at the end of the tunnel,’ Mr Johnson said on Thursday – though he refused to rule out extending the lockdown.

The whole point of shutting businesses, leisure centres and shops, asking people to stay at home, minimising contact with others, and cancelling weddings – all of it is designed to reduce the rate of infection heading into the crucial winter period where pressures on the health service usually intensify.

A failure to adequately get that R-rate down will surely lead to questions of whether the second national lockdown was worth it.

So what is happening in Liverpool – the army’s been sent in, hasn’t it?

Yes, the army has been sent in to assist with a pilot testing scheme, not to help enforce law and order.

Liverpool has been selected to trial the new system, which will allow anyone in the city to be tested – repeatedly – for coronavirus regardless of whether they have symptoms.

The idea is to gauge the effectiveness of a testing regime which relies on a rapid-turnaround lateral flow test which can give you results within 15 minutes. They will be used alongside existing swab tests.

Director of Public Health for Liverpool Matt Ashton said: ‘The aim of this project is to quickly identify people who have the virus and reduce transmission substantially.’

Are there any critics of the scheme?  

A group of academics, including Allyson Pollock, Professor of Public Health at Newcastle University, said plans to test asymptomatic people in Liverpool went against SAGE advice to prioritise testing for those who were displaying symptoms.

A letter sent to the city’s MPs on the eve of the testing trial read: ‘Searching for symptomless yet infectious people is like searching for needles that appear transiently in haystacks.

‘The potential for a harmful diversion of resources and public money is vast. Also of concern are the potential vested interests of commercial companies supplying new and as yet inadequately evaluated tests.’

The experts suggest the National Screening Committee conduct an immediate review of the pilot.

What are the chances Operation Moonshot will work?

Moonshot is the Government’s ambitious mass-testing scheme, announced by Mr Johnson in September.

But there have been similar concerns raised about Moonshot. Dr David Strain, clinical senior lecturer at the University of Exeter and chairman of the BMA’s medical academic staff committee, said previously: ‘The mass-testing strategy is fundamentally flawed, in that it is being based on technology that does not, as yet, exist.’

Earlier this week, fresh worries were aired about the effectiveness of a Moonshot trial in Greater Manchester – where even though test results were turned around in 20 minutes, they missed more than half of Covid cases.

That doesn’t sound positive, does it?

And there was further criticism on Friday of the Government’s Test and Trace system, which strives to reach the contacts of those with coronavirus symptoms.

James Naismith, professor of structural biology at Oxford University, said the system was only reaching a fraction of the number of people who should be contacted.

‘It hasn’t been effective at all,’ he told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme.

‘The only ways we are currently able to control infection spreading are social restrictions. Tracking and tracing hasn’t really made any difference to the spread of the epidemic.’

Earlier this week, latest figures showed just 59.9% of close contacts of people who tested positive in England were reached through the system in the week ending October 28.

This represented the lowest figure since Test and Trace began and was down from 60.6% for the previous week.

So what next?

All eyes on Liverpool. The Prime Minister said the rapid testing being piloted for the next 10 or so days in Merseyside could be a ‘real way forward through the crisis’.

‘The advantage of this approach is that you can tell whether people are infectious or not immediately – within 10 to 15 minutes,’ he said during a news conference on Thursday.

‘Without having to worry about the time taken to get the answer from the current testing system, you can help those people to self-isolate if they test positive, and if they test negative, then of course, they’re free to do things with other people who test negative in something close to a normal way.’

 

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