Sunak dismisses calls to take more action on cost-of-living crisis now

Under-fire Rishi Sunak dismisses calls for immediate action on cost-of-living crisis saying energy bills might NOT soar again – as he vows to prioritise tax cuts over extra spending

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Rishi Sunak dismissed calls for more help to alleviate the cost of living crisis today, saying his priority now was cutting taxes over spending more.

Facing MPs in a heated committee hearing this afternoon, the Chancellor was questioned on whether there was more scope to intervene to help those hit by a perfect storm of inflation, gas price rises and a national insurance hike.

He told the Treasury Committee that energy prices are too ‘volatile’ amid the standoff with Russia to know what the situation will be when the cap changes again in October.

In recent weeks estimates for the level this Autumn had varied from £3,500 to just £2,000, he said. 

Mr Sunak denied that he had styled himself as a tax-cutting Chancellor in the mini-Budget last week, when he said he would take a penny off income tax before the next election.

But he argued that the burden was only going up to record levels because of huge economic shocks and significant investment in public services.

He told them that he would rather extra money received by the exchequer now was geared towards tax cuts, rather than extra public spending.

He told MPs that ‘an excessive amount of borrowing now is not the responsible thing to do’, adding: ‘There are choices. What I’m trying to balance between is what is a responsible amount of borrowing … and within that constraint how best to target the support,’ he said.

‘One may say if they don’t like my choices they would be happy to borrow a lot more, that’s just not something I think is responsible or sensible.

‘I think it has the risk of stoking inflationary pressure and I don’t think it’s the right long-term thing to do for the country. I think we need to be responsible with borrowing, I think we need to be getting debt down and borrowing under control.

‘Then there’s a choice about where to target that support. I appreciate that people might have wanted to do more on welfare, less to cut tax to people in work.’    

Rishi Sunak warned that energy prices are too ‘volatile’ amid the standoff with Russia to know what the situation will be when the cap changes again in October

The OBR highlighted that Britons are facing the biggest fall in real disposable income on record this year

Mr Sunak was being grilled by the Commons Treasury Select Committee, chaired by Tory MP Mel Stride (pictured)

Rishi’s bailout targets workers rather than the poorest, says OBR 

The poorest in society are less likely to enjoy the benefits announced in the spring statement last week because the support packages focused so heavily on those in work, according to the Government’s own economists.

Officials from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) also told MPs that the Retail Price Index (RPI) of inflation – which influences train tickets, broadband bills and mobile phone tariffs – could soar above 10 per cent.

They also said the price of fuel could rise 6 per cent next year once the 5p-a-litre cut in fuel duty comes to an end next year.

Answering questions from the Treasury Select Committee as part of their inquiry into the spring statement, the officials also said the Government’s attempts at boosting business investment had fallen short due to continued uncertainty in the economy.

OBR chairman Richard Hughes was asked a wide range of questions about the spring statement, in particular whether it would benefit the poorest people in the country.

He said: ‘The Chancellor has used a combination of the council tax systems, supporting energy bills and the tax system to deliver support and relief for people facing this cost-of-living squeeze, rather than the benefits system.

‘One of the limitations of that is that you are limited by how many people you can reach through the tax system.

‘If people aren’t in work, or working the number of hours they need to get them beyond the personal allowances and thresholds, they are more difficult to reach through the tax system than they would be through something like universal credit, which reaches people lower down the income scale.’

Labour MP Angela Eagle asked Mr Hughes: ‘For those who are on lower fixed incomes, they are getting less help than those who are earning enough to pay national insurance in the first place?’

He said: ‘Yes, that’s right.

‘We do expect people who are working to offset some of the inflationary pressure.

‘The issue is with people on benefits – they are feeling more of a squeeze than people who are managing to get some of their income from earnings.’

The OBR said it was particularly concerned with inflation, which they now predict will hit 7.5% by the autumn.

Budget Responsibility Committee member Professor David Miles said: ‘I suspect there will be very few people who don’t feel a very real cut in their standard of living.

‘Inflation that we thought until recently would be 3% or 3.5%, is going to be 7.5%. It could be 9% in the autumn.’

He added that the retail price index measure of inflation could be even higher.

Prof Miles said: ‘That will rise by more. It’s very likely to be 10% or slightly more than 10% this year and very few people will see their after-tax earnings rising by anything like the same amount so, across the board, everyone will lose.’

The OBR’s job is to make predictions on the impact of policy changes announced by the Government in an official capacity.

Asked whether the Chancellor can claim to be a ‘tax cutting’ one, the panel pointed out that for every £6 of tax increases, Mr Sunak has given £1 back in cuts since becoming chancellor.

One major cut Mr Sunak made was a 5p-a-litre reduction in fuel duty, although this is only temporary and will increase by 6% next year once it ends, the OBR said.

To keep it in place would cost the Treasury £3.6 billion, it added. 

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Committee chairman Mel Stride grilled him over why he had done ‘very little’ for those who were out of work and relying on benefits.

But Mr Sunak sounded defiance, saying: ‘If someone’s view is Government can or should make everybody whole for inflation – particularly inflation at these levels caused by global supply factors – then that’s something that I don’t think is doable.’

He said that raising benefits by the current rate of inflation rather than what it was last September would have added £25billion to Government borrowing in the period up to 2026-27.

He said that ‘irresponsible’ borrowing levels risked stoking inflation even further adding to the pressure on living standards.

‘We are already forecast to borrow in this coming year about 60 per cent more as a percentage of GDP than our post-war average, 20 per cent more as a percentage of GDP than we were forecast to borrow in October, so it is already a significant amount of borrowing,’ he said. 

He appeared to hint that fuel duty might not rise next year when the 5p reduction is due to expire and the rate increased by RPI inflation, speculating about the impact on the government finances if it was ‘not possible’. 

However, Mr Sunak also gave a stark warning about the vulnerability of efforts to get the government’s books back under control.

He insisted the £30billion ‘headroom’ he had left in the Spring Statement to hit his fiscal rules ‘could easily be wiped out’ by marginal moves in interest rates. 

Mr Sunak has been scrambling to defuse a furious backlash for failing to do enough to tackle the cost-of-living crisis.

He was accused of being an ‘illusionist’ last week as he hailed his ‘tax-cutting’ Spring Statement, despite the burden being on course to reach the highest level since the 1940s. 

The government’s own watchdog has predicted that this year will see the biggest fall in disposable incomes since records began in the 1950s. 

There are claims Mr Sunak is already having to draw up a new support package, as he struggles to keep a lid on the UK’s £2.3trillion debt mountain and rising interest payments. 

An Opinium poll yesterday found Mr Sunak, once one of the most popular members of the government, has seen his ratings tumble into negative territory for the first time.

Research carried out after the mini-Budget showed 35 per cent disapprove of his performances, compared to 31 per cent who approved.

The net figure of minus four was a drop of 15 points from a fortnight ago, and compares to Mr Sunak’s previous low of plus seven in October last year.

Mr Sunak said it was a ‘fair summary’ when Mr Stride suggested he had announced a 1p cut to the basic rate of income tax for 2024 now so that it would be easier to stick to amid pressure for higher spending.

‘You are right that my priority at this point forward is to keep cutting taxes, not to increase public spending,’ he said. 

Mr Sunak stressed that public spending is already going up by 3.7 per cent in real terms over the rest of the Parliament.   

The Chancellor said his focus from now on was on cutting taxes – although he acknowledged that the burden was going to be higher in the short-term. 

However, he also stressed how uncertain the outlook is for the government finances, pointing out that a 1 per cent rise in interest rates could completely wipe it out. 

Tories have managed to prevent the government going ahead with planned fuel duty hikes for many years.

IFS director Paul Johnson said last week that the chances of duty going up next year were lower than him winning the National Lottery – adding that he does not play the lottery. 

And Mr Sunak told the committee that was one of his concerns in balancing the books. ‘On fuel duty, the current forecast assumed that fuel duty continued to be uprated by inflation every year,’ he said.

‘If that was not possible that is probably we think about a billion pounds plus in the target year…

‘Again if it was not possible to increase fuel duty, or the temporary reduction to not end and become permanent that would be another two and a half billion pounds.

‘Those are absolutely areas that would put downward pressure on the headroom.’ 

Mr Sunak is facing criticism for failing to do enough to tackle the cost-of-living crisis, with the state pension set to fall in real terms after the triple lock was suspended  

An Opinium poll found Rishi Sunak, once one of the most popular members of the government, has seen his ratings tumble into negative territory for the first time

Bank of England says shock of energy price rises will hit Britain harder in 2022 than any year in the 1970s

The Bank of England has said that the shock of energy price rises will hit Britain harder in 2022 than any year in the 1970s.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said swings in commodity markets after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine posed a risk to financial stability and the challenges facing the world economy are bigger than after the global financial crisis.

Prices in gas, oil, metals and agricultural markets have soared and have become so volatile that companies have had to cut trading volumes due to strained liquidity.

Bailey pointed to the commodity markets as the area of greatest fragility in terms of stresses on the financial system.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey (pictured) said swings in commodity markets after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine posed a risk to financial stability

‘We can’t take resilience, in particular in that part of the market, for granted,’ Bailey told an event held by the Bruegel think tank in Brussels on Monday.

The hit to real incomes in Britain from rising energy prices this year now looked likely to be greater than in any single year during the 1970s, when an oil crisis contributed to the worst bout of inflation in British postwar history, Bailey added.

Last week the European Central Bank said it would need to keep a close eye on the commodity derivatives market because price volatility had increased stress in the markets.

Earlier this month, a European energy trade body asked governments and financial institutions for emergency liquidity to help energy markets cope with the extreme volatility.

‘I’m afraid the cost of doing business will reflect a huge change in risk and volatility in these markets,’ Bailey said.

‘We have to watch very closely to ensure that the step change in the cost of risk doesn’t cause a market failure.’

Bailey said these markets had a ‘very big’ connection to monetary policy as central banks grapple with soaring inflation caused by a surge in energy prices that has accelerated after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

He largely stuck to the tone of the debate from this month’s interest rate announcement in which officials softened their language on the need for further rate hikes after they raised borrowing costs for the third time since December.

Bailey said the BoE had started to see evidence of an economic slowdown. ‘We expect that this pressure on demand will weigh down on domestically generated inflation, other things equal at the moment,’ he said.

Asked about a possible rate hike by the BoE at its next scheduled meeting in May, Bailey said the situation was very volatile after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine propelled energy prices higher.

He also said the risks for inflation were two-sided, meaning it could slow or accelerate more than the BoE has forecast.

Asked about the risk of a fragmented world economy with less globalisation if China aligned itself with Russia, Bailey said the situation was even more challenging than after the 2007-09 financial crisis.

‘I think it is very important that as authorities, as policymakers, governments, we make clear that we are not abandoning our commitment to an open world economy.’

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